Houston Texans desk
Outlook
The next club question, the evidence behind it, and what to watch next.
updated through generation 31044 · 16:05 ET · #7363 · HOU · released QB Mark Gronowski.
Week 3 · HOU vs IND
What should HOU learn about Davis Mills before the 2026 contract window closes?
Davis Mills · 2026 cap hit $8,125,000 · signed through 2026.
Over The Cap · 2026-09-20. Contract term · 2026-09-20. Current club membership checked against the roster.
Why now: This is the largest joined cap commitment among current roster members whose recorded term ends this season. Early-season usage and availability can inform the next contract decision; an expiring term alone is not a recommendation to replace him.
Watch next: 2026-09-27 · HOU at IND · official availability, playing time and assignments. Separate changes in opportunity from changes in efficiency.
House question based on sourced facts. 21 roster amounts remain unresolved; this is a known subset, not a complete valuation. A cap hit is accounting cost, not a cut saving.
Prior evidence · retain the original season and window
72%plays
HOU ran 11 personnel on 72% of offensive plays in 2025 (774 of 1,072).
Window: 2025 regular season
Sharp Football Analysis · n=1072
Sharp Football Analysis · 2026-08-3029.04neutral snaps
HOU averaged 29.04 seconds per play in neutral situations in 2025 (n = 468 snaps).
Window: 2025 regular season
Muffed (nflverse play-by-play) · n=468
Muffed (nflverse play-by-play) · 2026-09-0346.3%red-zone trips
HOU scored a touchdown on 46.3% of red-zone trips in 2025 (25 of 54).
Window: 2025 regular season
Pro-Football-Reference · n=54
Pro-Football-Reference · 2026-09-0537.2%third-down attempts
HOU converted 37.2% of third downs in 2025 (86 of 231).
Window: 2025 regular season
Pro-Football-Reference · n=231
Pro-Football-Reference · 2026-09-0522.8%dropbacks
HOU blitzed on 22.8% of opponent dropbacks in 2025 (142 of 623).
Window: 2025 regular season
Muffed (FTN Data via nflverse) · n=623
Muffed (FTN Data via nflverse) · 2026-09-03